Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -105 KU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +14 | 94 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.1 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.9 (-11.1) | 128.7 (-34.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.2 (-12.8) | 128.4 (-34.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -1.8 (-12.2) | 130.6 (-36.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.0 (-12.0) | 129.3 (-35.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CIN 84 – 68 KU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | CIN 72 – 52 KU |
| Jan 23, 2024 | KU 74 – 69 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#33) | 19.9 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#73) | 3.28 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#67) | 4.43 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#91) | 0.680 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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