Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -133 WEB +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -2.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.0 (+14.0) | 141.3 (-2.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.0 (+12.0) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.6 (+12.4) | 146.8 (-7.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.3 (+13.7) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | WEB 93 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | 5.2 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#125) | 0.37 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#128) | 0.90 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#97) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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