Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -198 WEB +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -3.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.9 (+13.1) | 154.2 (-8.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -3.5 (+12.5) | 151.7 (-5.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.0 (+13.0) | 150.5 (-4.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -3.0 (+13.0) | 153.0 (-7.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | WEB 93 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#192) | -0.55 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#170) | -0.47 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#187) | 0.456 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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