Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -175 MONT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +30 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -6.3 (+23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -4.8 (+25.2) | 133.0 (+23.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -4.2 (+25.8) | 133.5 (+22.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -4.6 (+25.4) | 133.0 (+23.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -3.8 (+26.2) | 132.8 (+23.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#99) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | 0.51 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#91) | 0.77 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#151) | 0.596 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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