Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -600 WEB +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -9.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -8.3 (-1.3) | 144.3 (-21.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -11.2 (-4.2) | 147.2 (-24.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -10.0 (-3.0) | 148.0 (-25.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -10.4 (-3.4) | 147.9 (-24.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | WEB 93 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#184) | -8.2 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#106) | -1.64 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#131) | -1.95 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#75) | 0.429 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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