They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -0.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WEB +100 / MONT -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual MONT +4 122 Lost
Massey WEB -2.8 (-6.8)
Massey Totals 149.3 (-27.3)
Bradley-Terry 35%
Weighted B-T 41%
Efficiency Plus ML WEB -0.9 (-4.9) 144.1 (-22.1) 55%
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -1.1 (-5.1) 145.2 (-23.2) 57%
Baseline ML WEB -1.0 (-5.0) 145.8 (-23.8) 55%
Baseline Plus ML WEB -0.7 (-4.7) 146.6 (-24.6) 54%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 WEB 9272 MONT
Jan 23, 2026 MONT 8165 WEB
Feb 16, 2025 MONT 6558 WEB
Jan 23, 2024 MONT 7762 WEB
Dec 29, 2023 WEB 9363 MONT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB MONT
Overall 12-22 25-10
Conference 5-13 15-3
Home 5-10 15-1
Away 4-11 7-8
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 75.2
Avg Pts Against 74.4 75.0
Massey -4.1 (#234) -3.2 (#217)
Bradley-Terry -0.83 (#246) 0.47 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#232) 0.26 (#152)
RPI 0.472 (#222) 0.541 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB MONT
FG% 44.0% 46.4%
3PT% 30.9% 31.4%
REB / G 32.2 30.8
OREB / G 9.7 7.2
AST / TO 0.82 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 52.5%
TOV% 17.9% 17.4%
ORB% 28.8% 22.0%
FT Rate 23.7% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 15.4%
DRB% 67.3% 68.5%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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