Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WEB +100 MONT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -2.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.7 (-4.7) | 146.6 (-24.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.9 (-4.9) | 144.1 (-22.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.1 (-5.1) | 145.2 (-23.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.0 (-5.0) | 145.8 (-23.8) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | WEB 93 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#234) | -3.2 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#246) | 0.47 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#232) | 0.26 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#222) | 0.541 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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