Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -135 MONT +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +20 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -1.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.7 (+18.3) | 150.6 (+13.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.3 (+19.7) | 147.7 (+16.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.5 (+18.5) | 148.8 (+15.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.9 (+19.1) | 150.1 (+13.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
| Dec 29, 2023 | WEB 93 – 63 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#199) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#230) | -0.36 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#220) | -0.32 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#247) | 0.491 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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