Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -800 LEH +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +3 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -10.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -10.1 (-7.1) | 137.8 (-20.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.8 (-5.8) | 141.1 (-24.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.4 (-6.4) | 141.6 (-24.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.4 (-6.4) | 141.8 (-24.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#153) | -5.9 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#151) | -2.62 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#165) | -2.84 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#145) | 0.399 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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