Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -225 ETAM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -8.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.9 (+6.1) | 148.2 (-7.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.5 (+5.5) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -5.2 (+5.8) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -5.2 (+5.8) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | LAM 82 – 61 ETAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LAM 69 – 62 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LAM 61 – 58 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#234) | -8.2 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#268) | -1.05 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#247) | -1.47 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#281) | 0.466 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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