Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Lamar Cardinals
76 – 65
FINAL Conference
East Texas A&M Lions
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · January 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money LAM -225 / ETAM +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual LAM +11 141 Won
Massey LAM -8.2 (+2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 147.5 (-6.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LAM -5.2 (+5.8) 147.4 (-6.4) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAM -4.9 (+6.1) 148.2 (-7.2) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -5.5 (+5.5) 142.6 (-1.6) 74% ✓
Baseline ML LAM -5.2 (+5.8) 143.2 (-2.2) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2026 LAM 82 – 61 ETAM
Dec 31, 2025 LAM 69 – 62 ETAM
Feb 15, 2025 LAM 65 – 55 ETAM
Jan 26, 2025 LAM 61 – 58 ETAM
Mar 5, 2024 LAM 70 – 53 ETAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM ETAM
Overall 19-14 13-20
Conference 12-6 6-12
Home 11-3 8-7
Away 5-11 4-12
Neutral 3-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 67.3
Avg Pts Against 73.4 76.6
Massey -3.7 (#234) -8.2 (#300)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#268) -1.05 (#275)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#247) -1.47 (#287)
RPI 0.439 (#281) 0.466 (#237)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM ETAM
FG% 44.5% 39.5%
3PT% 37.0% 28.7%
REB / G 36.7 29.9
OREB / G 12.4 8.6
AST / TO 1.20 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 46.5%
TOV% 18.3% 18.3%
ORB% 33.2% 23.1%
FT Rate 22.6% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 19.1%
DRB% 67.1% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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