Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -298 ETAM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -8.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -6.0 (+15.0) | 137.9 (+5.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -7.3 (+13.7) | 139.6 (+3.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -5.4 (+15.6) | 139.5 (+3.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -5.4 (+15.6) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | LAM 69 – 62 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LAM 61 – 58 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
| Jan 23, 2024 | LAM 76 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#205) | -7.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#239) | -1.10 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#230) | -1.46 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#262) | 0.466 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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