Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +205 LAM -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -0.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.4 (-7.4) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -0.2 (-6.8) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.5 (-7.5) | 140.9 (-9.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.7 (-7.7) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | LAM 82 – 61 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LAM 61 – 58 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
| Jan 23, 2024 | LAM 76 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 7-15 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#297) | -4.1 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#218) | -1.52 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#235) | -1.97 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#145) | 0.381 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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