Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -650 ETAM +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -13.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -10.6 (-7.6) | 135.0 (-16.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -10.0 (-7.0) | 134.0 (-15.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -9.9 (-6.9) | 133.5 (-14.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -10.3 (-7.3) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | LAM 82 – 61 ETAM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LAM 69 – 62 ETAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 ETAM |
| Mar 5, 2024 | LAM 70 – 53 ETAM |
| Jan 23, 2024 | LAM 76 – 65 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#200) | -12.1 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#233) | -2.48 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#219) | -3.59 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#213) | 0.390 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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