Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · January 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UK -5.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money SC +188 / UK -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +17 141 Won
Massey UK -3.8 (+20.8)
Massey Totals 158.7 (-17.7)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 64%
Efficiency Plus ML UK -0.4 (+17.4) 149.7 (-8.7) 48%
Baseline Tuned ML UK -1.0 (+18.0) 152.3 (-11.3) 46%
Baseline ML UK -0.4 (+17.4) 149.1 (-8.1) 52%
Baseline Plus ML UK -0.8 (+17.8) 152.1 (-11.1) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 UK 7263 SC
Feb 8, 2025 UK 8057 SC
Jan 11, 2023 SC 7168 UK
Feb 9, 2022 UK 8676 SC
Mar 6, 2021 UK 9264 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC UK
Overall 26-8 23-10
Conference 13-5 13-5
Home 14-3 14-4
Away 8-3 7-3
Neutral 4-2 2-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 89.0
Avg Pts Against 67.6 79.7
Massey 7.6 (#70) 15.1 (#16)
Bradley-Terry 2.51 (#18) 2.55 (#15)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.92 (#22) 3.11 (#16)
RPI 0.592 (#39) 0.613 (#24)
Shooting & Four Factors SC UK
FG% 43.8% 50.3%
3PT% 33.6% 40.2%
REB / G 37.0 38.4
OREB / G 12.1 9.6
AST / TO 1.38 1.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 58.1%
TOV% 16.2% 13.2%
ORB% 34.6% 27.6%
FT Rate 24.1% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 17.2%
DRB% 72.5% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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