Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SC +188 UK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UK -3.8 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -0.8 (+17.8) | 152.1 (-11.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -0.4 (+17.4) | 149.7 (-8.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -1.0 (+18.0) | 152.3 (-11.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -0.4 (+17.4) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 SC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UK 80 – 57 SC |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC 71 – 68 UK |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UK 86 – 76 SC |
| Mar 6, 2021 | UK 92 – 64 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 89.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#70) | 15.1 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#18) | 2.55 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#22) | 3.11 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#39) | 0.613 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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