Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -12.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -8.6 (-1.4) | 144.0 (+18.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -10.8 (+0.8) | 143.4 (+18.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -9.8 (-0.2) | 143.2 (+18.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -9.3 (-0.7) | 143.3 (+18.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 SC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UK 80 – 57 SC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SC 79 – 62 UK |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC 71 – 68 UK |
| Mar 6, 2021 | UK 92 – 64 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 18-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#105) | 20.5 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#84) | 3.26 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#100) | 4.34 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#82) | 0.638 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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