Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UK -300 SC +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +28 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UK -8.3 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -6.0 (+22.0) | 149.8 (+6.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -7.6 (+20.4) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -8.0 (+20.0) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -7.4 (+20.6) | 149.3 (+6.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 SC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UK 80 – 57 SC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SC 79 – 62 UK |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC 71 – 68 UK |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UK 86 – 76 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-6 | 3-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#60) | 3.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#89) | 0.51 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#73) | 0.89 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#105) | 0.513 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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