Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UK -800 SC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UK -14.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -11.8 (+11.2) | 149.1 (-12.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -12.1 (+10.9) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -12.1 (+10.9) | 149.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -11.5 (+11.5) | 149.9 (-12.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UK 72 – 63 SC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SC 79 – 62 UK |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC 71 – 68 UK |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UK 86 – 76 SC |
| Mar 6, 2021 | UK 92 – 64 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#16) | 6.9 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#12) | 0.96 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#17) | 1.37 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#13) | 0.528 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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