You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Southeastern Conference · Rupp Arena · January 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UK -20.0 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total UK win
Actual SC +3 139 Lost
Massey UK -20.3 (-23.3) — —
Massey Totals — 133.7 (+5.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UK -15.8 (-18.8) 138.3 (+0.7) 88% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UK -14.9 (-17.9) 135.5 (+3.5) 88% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UK -14.1 (-17.1) 139.5 (-0.5) 89% ✗
Baseline ML UK -15.0 (-18.0) 140.8 (-1.8) 88% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 UK 72 – 63 SC
Feb 8, 2025 UK 80 – 57 SC
Jan 24, 2024 SC 79 – 62 UK
Feb 9, 2022 UK 86 – 76 SC
Mar 6, 2021 UK 92 – 64 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UK SC
Overall 22-12 11-21
Conference 12-6 4-14
Home 14-4 7-8
Away 6-4 4-8
Neutral 2-4 0-5
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.5 64.3
Avg Pts Against 67.8 72.6
Massey 9.5 (#49) -6.6 (#293)
Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#54) -0.15 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.06 (#63) -0.53 (#217)
RPI 0.570 (#64) 0.479 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors UK SC
FG% 45.9% 39.6%
3PT% 38.1% 31.1%
REB / G 39.8 36.0
OREB / G 14.1 12.9
AST / TO 1.44 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 46.0%
TOV% 17.3% 19.4%
ORB% 38.8% 34.4%
FT Rate 19.3% 15.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 52.7%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 16.7%
DRB% 73.3% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 15.8%

Game Analysis

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