Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SC +270 UK -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -8.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -9.2 (+0.2) | 150.2 (-15.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -7.4 (-1.6) | 151.1 (-16.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -5.9 (-3.1) | 148.1 (-13.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -6.3 (-2.7) | 149.6 (-14.6) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | UK 80 – 57 SC |
| Jan 24, 2024 | SC 79 – 62 UK |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC 71 – 68 UK |
| Feb 9, 2022 | UK 86 – 76 SC |
| Mar 6, 2021 | UK 92 – 64 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#97) | 16.9 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#118) | 2.54 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#97) | 3.31 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#223) | 0.585 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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