Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +125 WIS -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -3.8 (+1.8) | 141.5 (-21.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.7 (+1.7) | 139.6 (-19.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.9 (+1.9) | 143.0 (-23.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.7 (+1.7) | 142.5 (-22.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2023 | WIS 71 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#92) | 14.5 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#127) | 2.57 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#116) | 3.33 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#164) | 0.645 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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