Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MINN +220 WIS -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -8.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.4 (-0.6) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -7.4 (+0.4) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -8.4 (+1.4) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.7 (-0.3) | 136.8 (+4.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2023 | WIS 71 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#92) | 18.1 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#72) | 2.94 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#69) | 3.95 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#98) | 0.611 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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