Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -1600 MINN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -18.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -16.1 (+4.9) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.9 (+7.1) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -17.0 (+4.0) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -16.1 (+4.9) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2023 | WIS 71 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#25) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#22) | 0.12 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#17) | 0.45 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#17) | 0.481 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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