Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +105 WIS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -2.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -0.8 (-2.2) | 137.5 (+15.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.2 (-2.8) | 143.1 (+9.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -0.2 (-2.8) | 139.5 (+13.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -0.2 (-2.8) | 139.3 (+13.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2023 | WIS 71 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#97) | 12.3 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#83) | 2.48 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#82) | 3.30 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#132) | 0.589 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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