I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Big Ten Conference · Williams Arena · March 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -5.0 Home covered
O/U 129.0 Over
Money MINN +205 / WIS -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual WIS +4 138 Lost
Massey WIS -7.3 (+3.3)
Massey Totals 124.2 (+13.8)
Bradley-Terry 20%
Weighted B-T 10%
Baseline Plus ML WIS -6.8 (+2.8) 132.2 (+5.8) 21%
Model 4 ML WIS -8.1 (+4.1) 131.0 (+7.0) 19%
Model 3 ML WIS -6.4 (+2.4) 131.6 (+6.4) 22%
Baseline ML WIS -6.6 (+2.6) 133.2 (+4.8) 23%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 WIS 6763 MINN
Jan 14, 2026 WIS 7875 MINN
Mar 6, 2025 WIS 7467 MINN
Jan 11, 2025 WIS 8059 MINN
Jan 24, 2024 WIS 6159 MINN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN WIS
Overall 9-22 20-15
Conference 2-17 9-11
Home 6-11 11-6
Away 1-9 6-6
Neutral 2-2 3-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 62.9 65.3
Avg Pts Against 71.0 63.6
Massey -2.9 (#220) 8.0 (#75)
Bradley-Terry -0.39 (#214) 1.59 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#241) 2.13 (#52)
RPI 0.441 (#297) 0.544 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN WIS
FG% 42.7% 41.5%
3PT% 31.9% 35.7%
REB / G 33.4 31.2
OREB / G 8.8 7.6
AST / TO 1.11 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 48.8%
TOV% 19.5% 13.4%
ORB% 25.4% 21.6%
FT Rate 18.6% 15.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 18.5%
DRB% 68.9% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 16.7% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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