And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Big Ten Conference · Williams Arena · March 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -5.0 Home covered
O/U 129.0 Over
Money MINN +205 / WIS -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual WIS +4 138 Lost
Massey WIS -7.3 (+3.3) — —
Massey Totals — 124.2 (+13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 20% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 10% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -6.4 (+2.4) 131.6 (+6.4) 22% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -8.1 (+4.1) 131.0 (+7.0) 19% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -6.8 (+2.8) 132.2 (+5.8) 21% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -6.6 (+2.6) 133.2 (+4.8) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 WIS 67 – 63 MINN
Jan 14, 2026 WIS 78 – 75 MINN
Mar 6, 2025 WIS 74 – 67 MINN
Jan 11, 2025 WIS 80 – 59 MINN
Jan 24, 2024 WIS 61 – 59 MINN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN WIS
Overall 9-22 20-15
Conference 2-17 9-11
Home 6-11 11-6
Away 1-9 6-6
Neutral 2-2 3-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 62.9 65.3
Avg Pts Against 71.0 63.6
Massey -2.9 (#220) 8.0 (#75)
Bradley-Terry -0.39 (#214) 1.59 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.82 (#241) 2.13 (#52)
RPI 0.441 (#297) 0.544 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN WIS
FG% 42.7% 41.5%
3PT% 31.9% 35.7%
REB / G 33.4 31.2
OREB / G 8.8 7.6
AST / TO 1.11 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 48.8%
TOV% 19.5% 13.4%
ORB% 25.4% 21.6%
FT Rate 18.6% 15.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 18.5%
DRB% 68.9% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 16.7% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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