Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -550 MINN +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -9.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -9.4 (-5.4) | 145.1 (-15.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -9.7 (-5.7) | 143.9 (-13.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -8.8 (-4.8) | 144.0 (-14.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -8.6 (-4.6) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2023 | WIS 71 – 67 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#42) | 6.7 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#39) | 1.04 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#44) | 1.55 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#52) | 0.512 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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