Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UCF -333 WVU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -11.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -10.4 (+2.6) | 139.6 (-8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -10.1 (+2.9) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -10.6 (+2.4) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -10.5 (+2.5) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WVU 77 – 62 UCF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | WVU 74 – 67 UCF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WVU 72 – 65 UCF |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WVU 77 – 67 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-8 | 9-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#60) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#78) | 0.06 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#81) | 0.31 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#78) | 0.515 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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