Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -198 UCF +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -2.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -3.1 (+11.9) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.4 (+12.6) | 138.6 (+0.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.2 (+12.8) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.0 (+13.0) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WVU 74 – 67 UCF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WVU 72 – 65 UCF |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WVU 77 – 67 UCF |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UCF 72 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#60) | 11.0 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#62) | 2.53 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#54) | 3.26 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#106) | 0.589 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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