Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -340 UCF +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -9.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -6.1 (+0.9) | 147.8 (-10.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -7.6 (-0.6) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -8.1 (-1.1) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -7.8 (-0.8) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WVU 77 – 62 UCF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | WVU 74 – 67 UCF |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WVU 77 – 67 UCF |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UCF 72 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 80.4 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#43) | 6.8 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#48) | 1.43 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#52) | 1.60 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#55) | 0.539 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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