Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +310 UNM -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +20 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -10.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -9.6 (-10.4) | 151.8 (+18.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -11.3 (-8.7) | 150.2 (+19.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -10.5 (-9.5) | 151.2 (+18.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -11.1 (-8.9) | 152.9 (+17.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | 14.5 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#212) | 2.45 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#205) | 2.87 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#246) | 0.640 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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