Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +950 UNM -1650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +10 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -15.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -14.6 (+4.6) | 141.2 (+28.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -14.5 (+4.5) | 140.3 (+29.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -14.2 (+4.2) | 142.0 (+28.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -14.7 (+4.7) | 143.3 (+26.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNM 83 – 77 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 17-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#249) | 13.3 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#263) | 2.39 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#245) | 3.06 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#255) | 0.607 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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