Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UNM -3500 SJSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -13.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -17.3 (-6.3) | 148.1 (-33.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -13.4 (-2.4) | 148.8 (-33.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -11.9 (-0.9) | 149.6 (-34.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -12.2 (-1.2) | 150.6 (-35.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNM 83 – 77 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#40) | -0.6 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#31) | -0.12 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#26) | -0.20 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#18) | 0.471 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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