Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -1800 SJSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +23 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -15.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -13.4 (+9.6) | 144.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -15.0 (+8.0) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -13.0 (+10.0) | 143.2 (+9.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -13.3 (+9.7) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNM 83 – 77 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 17-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#76) | -2.6 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#40) | -0.63 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#44) | -0.73 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#24) | 0.478 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.