Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +400 UNM -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -7.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -8.1 (+9.1) | 153.0 (-12.0) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -7.7 (+8.7) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -8.2 (+9.2) | 149.9 (-8.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -7.6 (+8.6) | 149.9 (-8.9) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNM 83 – 77 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-9 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#172) | 10.7 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#217) | 2.34 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#210) | 3.17 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#210) | 0.603 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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