Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UNM -1800 SJSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +16 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -15.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -12.8 (+3.2) | 146.6 (+23.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -14.5 (+1.5) | 145.5 (+24.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -13.2 (+2.8) | 148.0 (+22.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -12.6 (+3.4) | 148.4 (+21.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNM 83 – 77 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 17-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#49) | -3.5 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#53) | -0.72 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#55) | -0.62 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#56) | 0.451 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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