Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -6.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Over
Money KENN -250 / UNA +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual UNA +6 174 Lost
Massey KENN -6.6 (-12.6) — —
Massey Totals — 168.3 (+5.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -7.1 (-13.1) 157.2 (+16.8) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -5.5 (-11.5) 156.7 (+17.3) 74% ✗
Baseline ML KENN -5.3 (-11.3) 159.0 (+15.0) 70% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENN -5.7 (-11.7) 159.6 (+14.4) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2023 KENN 79 – 66 UNA
Jan 29, 2022 UNA 71 – 58 KENN
Jan 16, 2021 UNA 66 – 64 KENN
Jan 15, 2021 UNA 66 – 43 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN UNA
Overall 15-16 15-17
Conference 6-10 8-8
Home 9-5 10-4
Away 4-11 5-13
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 74.8
Avg Pts Against 83.7 77.0
Massey -2.4 (#206) -5.2 (#266)
Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#138) -1.76 (#321)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#154) -1.96 (#309)
RPI 0.511 (#150) 0.419 (#304)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN UNA
FG% 44.8% 42.8%
3PT% 33.3% 33.0%
REB / G 36.4 35.7
OREB / G 11.4 10.5
AST / TO 1.10 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 48.5%
TOV% 16.4% 16.4%
ORB% 29.0% 28.1%
FT Rate 24.3% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 15.6%
DRB% 68.0% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 29.1%

Game Analysis

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