Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | KENN +220 UNA -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -0.6 (-1.4) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -1.2 (-0.8) | 127.7 (+2.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -1.7 (-0.3) | 128.6 (+1.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -2.2 (+0.2) | 130.8 (-0.8) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNA 90 – 84 KENN |
| Feb 23, 2023 | KENN 79 – 66 UNA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UNA 71 – 58 KENN |
| Jan 15, 2021 | UNA 66 – 43 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#319) | -8.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#339) | -1.30 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.28 (#337) | -1.81 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#301) | 0.366 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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