Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | KENN +188 UNA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +23 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -7.1 (-30.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -2.7 (-25.7) | 133.3 (-24.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.5 (-25.5) | 130.5 (-21.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -3.1 (-26.1) | 132.6 (-23.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.6 (-25.6) | 132.7 (-23.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNA 90 – 84 KENN |
| Feb 23, 2023 | KENN 79 – 66 UNA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UNA 71 – 58 KENN |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNA 66 – 64 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 7-8 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#299) | -13.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#337) | -1.49 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.77 (#335) | -2.08 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#268) | 0.361 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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