We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
VyStar Arena · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -7.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual UNA +13 129 Lost
Massey KENN -9.4 (-22.4) — —
Massey Totals — 134.2 (-5.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -6.5 (-19.5) 139.0 (-10.0) 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -9.2 (-22.2) 137.2 (-8.2) 79% ✗
Baseline ML KENN -8.5 (-21.5) 137.8 (-8.8) 77% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENN -8.3 (-21.3) 140.0 (-11.0) 75% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2024 UNA 90 – 84 KENN
Feb 23, 2023 KENN 79 – 66 UNA
Jan 16, 2021 UNA 66 – 64 KENN
Jan 15, 2021 UNA 66 – 43 KENN

Game Analysis

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