You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · February 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money UNA +150 / KENN -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual KENN +13 145 Lost
Massey KENN -2.0 (-11.0) — —
Massey Totals — 153.6 (-8.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -1.7 (-11.3) 150.9 (-5.9) 38% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -0.8 (-12.2) 152.5 (-7.5) 47% ✓
Baseline ML KENN -0.9 (-12.1) 153.3 (-8.3) 48% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENN -1.4 (-11.6) 153.2 (-8.2) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2024 UNA 90 – 84 KENN
Jan 29, 2022 UNA 71 – 58 KENN
Jan 16, 2021 UNA 66 – 64 KENN
Jan 15, 2021 UNA 66 – 43 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA KENN
Overall 18-15 26-9
Conference 10-8 15-3
Home 9-4 15-1
Away 8-10 10-6
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 73.5
Avg Pts Against 76.5 70.9
Massey -4.5 (#246) 1.0 (#150)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#138) 1.08 (#83)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#173) 0.88 (#108)
RPI 0.513 (#154) 0.559 (#69)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA KENN
FG% 45.8% 45.6%
3PT% 36.6% 37.4%
REB / G 34.0 34.0
OREB / G 8.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.00 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 52.7%
TOV% 15.8% 18.5%
ORB% 24.2% 27.8%
FT Rate 22.2% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 20.4%
DRB% 73.2% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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