Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -120 NAVY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -3.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.4 (+6.6) | 133.5 (+0.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.8 (+6.2) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -1.9 (+6.1) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.9 (+6.1) | 135.0 (-1.0) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NAVY 74 – 69 BUCK |
| Feb 9, 2026 | NAVY 76 – 60 BUCK |
| Jan 8, 2026 | NAVY 76 – 55 BUCK |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAVY 83 – 77 BUCK |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BUCK 85 – 75 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#285) | -6.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#295) | -1.59 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#286) | -2.12 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#284) | 0.406 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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