Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | BU -200 ARMY +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -7.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -4.2 (-14.2) | 125.6 (+2.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -3.7 (-13.7) | 124.0 (+4.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.9 (-13.9) | 125.8 (+2.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -5.0 (-15.0) | 124.6 (+3.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#289) | -10.7 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#299) | -2.96 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#290) | -3.45 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#312) | 0.352 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.