Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -135 BU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -4.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.4 (+3.6) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.2 (+4.8) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -1.9 (+4.1) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.2 (+3.8) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#290) | -7.8 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#239) | -0.99 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#266) | -1.38 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#231) | 0.443 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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