Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BU -190 ARMY +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BU -6.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.1 (+3.9) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.9 (+4.1) | 136.9 (-2.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -4.0 (+4.0) | 138.2 (-4.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.9 (+4.1) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#269) | -7.9 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#279) | -1.17 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#279) | -1.83 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#299) | 0.438 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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