Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +100 BU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -0.5 (+15.5) | 126.4 (-11.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -1.5 (+16.5) | 125.4 (-10.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -0.9 (+15.9) | 122.8 (-7.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -0.4 (+15.4) | 124.9 (-9.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#323) | -7.1 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#349) | -1.59 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#341) | -1.73 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#349) | 0.420 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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