Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +130 BU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +17 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -1.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -1.3 (-15.7) | 144.9 (+8.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -1.4 (-15.6) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.4 (-15.6) | 143.8 (+9.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -1.1 (-15.9) | 144.3 (+8.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ARMY 69 – 59 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#333) | -7.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#323) | -1.72 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#334) | -2.35 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#314) | 0.414 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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