Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -500 ASU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -8.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -7.1 (+11.9) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.2 (+12.8) | 143.4 (-2.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.0 (+13.0) | 144.0 (-3.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.5 (+12.5) | 148.2 (-7.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2023 | ORE 75 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ASU 90 – 73 ORE |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ASU 81 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2021 | ASU 69 – 67 ORE |
| Mar 11, 2021 | ORE 91 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#63) | 4.5 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#48) | 1.23 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#59) | 1.46 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#37) | 0.565 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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