Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -111 ORE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -2.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -1.5 (-6.5) | 136.9 (+8.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -2.7 (-7.7) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -1.9 (-6.9) | 138.9 (+6.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -2.0 (-7.0) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORE 80 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ASU 90 – 73 ORE |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ASU 81 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2021 | ASU 69 – 67 ORE |
| Mar 11, 2021 | ORE 91 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#66) | 9.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#63) | 1.15 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#62) | 1.56 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#61) | 0.552 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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