Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +17 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -3.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.1 (-20.1) | 138.7 (+24.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.9 (-18.9) | 136.9 (+26.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.3 (-19.3) | 137.4 (+25.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.8 (-19.8) | 137.2 (+25.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORE 80 – 61 ASU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ORE 75 – 70 ASU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ASU 81 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2021 | ASU 69 – 67 ORE |
| Mar 11, 2021 | ORE 91 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#66) | 8.4 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#72) | 1.83 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#71) | 2.24 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#73) | 0.588 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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