Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | ORE -475 ASU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -9.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -7.9 (-9.9) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.2 (-8.2) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.7 (-8.7) | 136.6 (-0.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.4 (-8.4) | 136.0 (-0.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORE 80 – 61 ASU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | ORE 75 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 13, 2023 | ASU 90 – 73 ORE |
| Feb 18, 2022 | ASU 81 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 11, 2021 | ORE 91 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#118) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#117) | -1.65 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#99) | -2.07 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#111) | 0.451 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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