Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -800 DETM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -15.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -10.7 (+5.3) | 150.5 (+7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -12.1 (+3.9) | 151.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -12.5 (+3.5) | 153.7 (+4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -12.2 (+3.8) | 153.4 (+4.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-4 | 1-11 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#252) | -16.5 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#226) | -4.44 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#263) | -5.80 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#219) | 0.370 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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