Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -3000 DETM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +22 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -16.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -14.0 (+8.0) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -13.1 (+8.9) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -13.1 (+8.9) | 144.6 (+11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -13.2 (+8.8) | 146.0 (+10.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
| Mar 6, 2024 | MILW 83 – 79 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#131) | -11.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#135) | -1.66 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#119) | -2.16 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.429 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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